Sy Hersh levels the "bomb"shell (so to speak) story of the week (via Ned Lamont's blog):
The administration of President George W. Bush is planning a massive bombing campaign against Iran, including use of bunker-buster nuclear bombs to destroy a key Iranian suspected nuclear weapons facility, The New Yorker magazine has reported in its April 17 issue.
...The former intelligence officials depicts planning as “enormous,” “hectic” and “operational,” Hersh writes.
...In recent weeks, the president has quietly initiated a series of talks on plans for Iran with a few key senators and members of the House of Representatives, including at least one Democrat, the report said.
First, I wonder who the Democrat is...could it be...well....I mean...Lieberman? Bush's favoritest Democrat?
This is so bafflingly stupid, one almost thinks that it must be designed to really throw the world into chaos. Want a prediction for the worst case scenario of what happens if we do this?
First, Iran declares an embargo on oil and launches an all out war on gulf oil tanker shipping. Iran also, for those not following the news, has (A) tested a new sea missile, and (B) has submarines of some kind - we may be able to bomb their navy, but I doubt we can just shut it down completely. Think "unrestricted submarine warfare" like WWII, on a smaller scale.
Second, Iran unleashes its lackies in Islamic Jihad and other terrorists in the middle east who will launch a new wave of attacks in Israel, Iraq, and eventually, Europe and the US.
Third, Iran has an enormous army (not a great army, but a large army, with some modern weapons...we've seen in Iraq that you don't have to be a good army, just a smart army to fight against the big dogs)....I bet Iran sends part of its army into Iraq. We currently have 150,000 troops bogged down in a grind with the insurgency. Whether these troops come across in tanks or are snuck across to join the Mahdi Army and a second front in the insurgency. Can you picture what would happen if 150,000 US troops are trapped and bled out of Iraq? Can you say "evacuation from the US embassy in Vietnam"???
Fourth, Oil hits $175 a barrel. You will lovingly look back on the days of $3.00/gallon gasoline. Our economy would literally grind to a halt, bankruptcies would surge, and the American consumer wouldn't be pinched - they'd be screwed, and over an (oil) barrel because our society is simply not geared to handle oil shocks anymore (read Jim Kunstler, who predicts that one way or another, we are heading to that long dark period since we are probably at or near global peak oil anyway).
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